Center for Explanatory Research and Scientific Prediction – CERSP

The Future is the Future

Mission

CERSP understands how innovations in AI and machine learning merge with traditional quantitative methods to support and re-strengthen democracy. Developing a new science of human foresight to support and re-strengthen democracy, our goal is to re-imagine how new practices can be implemented to shape more reliable and valid evidence. This is relevant to our policy, debate, and a better understanding of the world in which we live.

cersp

Programs

YAI

YAI: Artificial intelligence (AI) has become pervasive, and it is embedded in every aspect of our life.

WINDS

Winds: Women have made significant contributions to the development of machine learning and AI.

Predict to Explain

Predict to explain: A fundamental divide persists between Social Science, which prioritizes explanation.

Democracy in the Future

We are in poly-crisis. Elections, economic performance, public health, and geopolitical stability have all become.

Europe-Asia

EU-China: Europe-Asia relations are pivotal in shaping global politics, economics, and security amidst rising geopolitical.

Global and Far-Right Populism

EU-China: Europe-Asia relations are pivotal in shaping global politics, economics, and

About CERSP

The Center for Explanatory Research and Scientific Prediction (CERSP) is a U.S.-based nonprofit think tank advancing a new science of human foresight to understand how expectations and uncertainty can better be understood in order to strengthen democratic futures. CERSP is an independent research center dedicated to pioneering the systematic study of how prediction and our understanding of the future can reshape democracy, policy, and society.

CERSP takes the future seriously by:

Developing tools to anticipate risk under uncertainty
Integrating human expectations into predictive and democratic models
Rethinking explanation vs. prediction in social science
Strengthening democracy in an age of AI