Center for Explanatory Research and Scientific Prediction – CERSP
To Explain the Future
Mission
CERSP understands how innovations in AI and machine learning merge with traditional quantitative methods to support and re-strengthen democracy. Developing a new science of human foresight to support and re-strengthen democracy, our goal is to re-imagine how new practices can be implemented to shape more reliable and valid evidence. This is relevant to our policy, debate, and a better understanding of the world in which we live.
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Programs
YAI
YAI: Artificial intelligence (AI) has become pervasive, and it is embedded in every aspect of our life.
WINDS
Winds: Women have made significant contributions to the development of machine learning and AI.
Predict to Explain
Predict to explain: A fundamental divide persists between Social Science, which prioritizes explanation.
Democracy in the Future
We are in poly-crisis. Elections, economic performance, public health, and geopolitical stability have all become.
Europe-Asia
EU-China: Europe-Asia relations are pivotal in shaping global politics, economics, and security amidst rising geopolitical.
Global and Far-Right Populism
EU-China: Europe-Asia relations are pivotal in shaping global politics, economics, and
About CERSP
The Center for Explanatory Research and Scientific Prediction (CERSP) is a U.S.-based nonprofit think tank advancing a new science of human foresight to understand how expectations and uncertainty can better be understood in order to strengthen democratic futures. CERSP is an independent research center dedicated to pioneering the systematic study of how prediction and our understanding of the future can reshape democracy, policy, and society.
CERSP takes the future seriously by:
- Developing tools to anticipate risk under uncertainty
- Integrating human expectations into predictive and democratic models
- Rethinking explanation vs. prediction in social science
- Strengthening democracy in an age of AI
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Blogs & Events
Welcome to the YAI blog
This where you can find updates and news for the Why AI program of CERSP
Welcome to the WINDS blog
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Welcome to the blog for Global and Far-Right Populism & Immigration in Europe
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Welcome to the EU-China blog
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Uncertainty is here to stay
Uncertainty is the ‘New Normal’ “Uncertainty is the new normal” in global economy, IMF chief warns. IMF Managing Director Kristalina
Welcome to the Predict to Explain blog
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